## hindsight bias

Past events always look less random than they were. 

Overestimation of what one knew at the time of the event due to subsequent information. 

The "I knew it all along" effect. 

Things appear to be more predictable after the fact.

## round-trip fallacy

Using statistics without logic is a mistake, but using logic without statistics is not. The fallacy is that people using logic are asked for data to support the claims, but this data is not actually needed. However, you cannot use statistic without logic (as is frequently the case).

## survivorship bias

## attribution bias

You attribute your success to skills, but your failures to randomness.